Hey guys! It’s TradingToMillionsUT and I am back with another update! This time we’re going to talk about the FIFA 18 Black Friday market crash.
FIFA 18 Black Friday Market Crash Update
What to Expect
Black Friday is coming. That should be no surprise to you guys at all. For those of you who don’t know what Black Friday is, let me explain that really quickly. Black Friday is the day after Thanksgiving in the US, and stores often have big discounts on various items. In FIFA, however, we don’t see discounts, but rather we see the first lightning rounds of the year and big pack offers. November 24th is Black Friday, so let me tell you what to expect. The market has already begun to drop. Looking at FUTBin alone, the market yesterday dropped over 5% on Xbox, which is massive. This is due to YouTubers uploading videos warning people about what Black Friday does to FIFA. If you have not sold on your teams and investments yet, do it. The market will likely only drop from now until Black Friday.
When to Buy
So, for most investors and traders, like myself, we look at the FIFA 18 Black Friday market crash as a way to profit off of panic selling. I mentioned this in my last update talking about panic selling on Sunday nights before Squad Battles Rewards. People see these packs being released and they tend to freak out about it, so the market crashes before Black Friday even happens. That is when we buy. I don’t know exactly when the cheapest day will be, but expect it to be anywhere from a few days before Black Friday to the weekend before (Sunday in specific). If you are looking for players like Martial, Gabriel Jesus, Tolisso, etc, I would buy them on Black Friday during a 100k or 125k pack lightning round on a snipe. People will be spamming packs and when they pack something good, they will want to sell it on right away. The rest of the players you want (high tier players, Icons, etc,) will be most likely cheapest earlier on in the week.
Messi before crash
Messi at Crash
When to Sell
So, basing this off of previous years, selling time is usually a week or two after the FIFA 18 Black Friday market crash. People will want to build new amazing teams with the players being so cheap, so the market will quickly rise after that. This is when you will make hundreds of thousands of coins, if not millions. Make sure your club is cleaned out before you go and do this. More coins = more profit. As you can see by the photos of the graphs I used from Messi last year, he dropped before Black Friday, then rose over 150k after the crash. This is what we all want to replicate this year.
Messi after crash
So, it is likely that POTM will be coming out on Friday, November 10th. If you are still invested in POTM, sell those investments soon. If you hold onto your investment until Friday, you can end up losing out on a ton of coins. I personally think it will be Sane, but you never know with EA.
SBCs during Black Friday
Last year, we saw a lot of insane SBCs come out during Black Friday. This includes guaranteed IF packs, 81+ packs, and flash SBCs. EA seem to hate traders this year, so I don’t expect them to release SBCs requiring IFs because they don’t want people to profit, although I may be wrong. I personally will be buying 82+ rated IFs that go for discard over the next week or two in hope that they release an SBC that does require an IF. I also am anticipating they release a Prime Icon SBC either the week before Black Friday or the day before. This would be used to stabilize the market for those higher rated players, making people want to spend money and coins on the packs released on Black Friday. Having those near discard IFs that are decently rated never hurts, since you can buy them for 13k or less, and they will likely never be less than that, especially if there is SBC requiring them.
When is the Next Market Crash?
After the FIFA 18 Black Friday market crash, the next market crashes are usually during FUTMas, leading up to TOTY, which then the prices rebound again, but I won’t go into detail yet, since that is still a while away. Just make sure to take advantage of Black Friday for profit.
If you have any questions about purchases or when you should buy/sell, shoot me a tweet on Twitter (@TTM_UT) or go to my Twitch channel (www.twitch.tv/tradingtomillionsut). I will try and respond as soon as I can!